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IDC Lowers 2020 and 2021 PC Forecasts
March 08, 2020
IDC reported a decline in its PC and Tablet forecast for 2020 that was attributed to the Windows 7 to Windows 10 transition, which created tougher Y/Y growth comparisons the spread of COVID-19 is hampering supply and leading to reduced demand. As a result, IDC forecasts a decline of 8.2% in shipments during the first quarter of 2020 (1Q20), followed by a decline of 12.7% in 2Q20 as the existing inventory of components and finished goods from the first quarter will have been depleted by the second quarter. In the second half of the year, growth rates are expected to improve though the market will remain in decline.
Table 1: PC Forecasts circa Q419 and Q319
IDC Lowers 2020 and 2021 PC Forecasts
March 08, 2020
IDC reported a decline in its PC and Tablet forecast for 2020 that was attributed to the Windows 7 to Windows 10 transition, which created tougher Y/Y growth comparisons the spread of COVID-19 is hampering supply and leading to reduced demand. As a result, IDC forecasts a decline of 8.2% in shipments during the first quarter of 2020 (1Q20), followed by a decline of 12.7% in 2Q20 as the existing inventory of components and finished goods from the first quarter will have been depleted by the second quarter. In the second half of the year, growth rates are expected to improve though the market will remain in decline.
Table 1: PC Forecasts circa Q419 and Q319
Source: Company
"We have already forgone nearly a month of production given the two-week extension to the Lunar New Year break and we expect the road to recovery for China's supply chain to be long with a slow trickle of labor back to factories in impacted provinces until May when the weather improves," said Linn Huang, research vice president, Devices & Displays. "Many critical components such as panels, touch sensors, and printed circuit boards come out of these impacted regions, which will cause a supply crunch heading into Q2."
Figure 1: IDC 2020 PC Shipment Forecasts by Quarter
Figure 1: IDC 2020 PC Shipment Forecasts by Quarter
Source: Company