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Musing-Weekly Newsletter

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2020 - 2024 LCD Capex to Reach $63.5B, OLED at $70.8B
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As LCD large area panel prices remain high, panel makers are planning to increase capacity. DSCC raised their estimates for 2020-2024 LCD spending by 38% to $32B, accounting for BOE’s new G10.5 fab, B17+ and additional spending at HKC H2, HKC H4, SIO, CSOT T5, AUO and HannStar.
  • OLED capex was forecast down by $1.5B $52.8B due to the removal of BOE’s next mobile OLED fab offset by Samsung’s $2B capex for a new G8.5 oxide OLED fabs for IT markets.
  • 2021 to 2024 spending is expected to average $13.7B/year.
  • Applied Materials is expected to gain share for the fifth straight year in 2021 and reclaim the top spot over Canon. Nikon is expected to be #3 followed by V Technology, Invenia, TEL, ULVAC, AP Systems, DMS and LG PRI.
  • China’s share of display equipment spending is expected to rise from 86% in 2020 to 97% in 2021 but will fall to 77% in 2022 as Korea’s share rebounds.
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