IDC Forecasts CAGR Growth at 50% (2017-2022)
April 02, 2018
Despite the recent evidence the VR headset shipments actually slowed in 2017, down 4.3%, IDC remains optimistic about the VR/AR category projecting VR shipments to grow from 8m in 2017 to 43m in 2022 and AR shipments to grow from .9m in 2017 to 26.3m by 2022.
Augmented Reality IDC expects head-mounted displays will see market-beating growth over the next five years as standalone and tethered devices grow to account for more than 97% of the market by 2022. IDC expects AR Screenless viewers, the overall market leader in 2017, to peak in 2019 as standalone and tethered products become more widely available at lower price points. The rise of Screenless viewers geared toward consumers tilted shipment volumes away from commercial viewers in 2017 and that's likely to continue in 2018; by 2019 the segment will shift back toward more commercial shipments.
Virtual Reality IDC expects head-mounted displays will see a shift in product mix. Screenless viewers, once the overall leader, will see share erode quickly over time. Meanwhile, standalone and tethered devices – in the minority in 2017 – will comprise 85.7% of total shipments by 2022. Consumers will account for a majority of headset shipments throughout the forecast, but commercial users will slowly occupy a larger share, growing to nearly equal status in 2022.
Table 1: VR/AR HMD Shipments